Controlling False Discoveries in Large-Scale Experimentation: Challenges and Solutions


“Scientific research has changed the world. Now it needs to change itself.”

- The Economist, 2013

There has been a growing concern about the validity of scientific findings. A multitude of journals, papers and reports have recognized the ever smaller number of replicable scientific studies. In 2016, one of the giants of scientific publishing, Nature, surveyed about 1,500 researchers across many different disciplines, asking for their stand on the status of reproducibility in their area of research. One of the many takeaways to the worrisome results of this survey is the following: 90% of the respondents agreed that there is a reproducibility crisis, and the overall top answer to boosting reproducibility was “better understanding of statistics”. Indeed, many factors contributing to the explosion of irreproducible research stem from the neglect of the fact that statistics is no longer as static as it was in the first half of the 20th century, when statistical hypothesis testing came into prominence as a theoretically rigorous proposal for making valid discoveries with high confidence.


Learning Preferences by Looking at the World


It would be great if we could all have household robots do our chores for us. Chores are tasks that we want done to make our houses cater more to our preferences; they are a way in which we want our house to be different from the way it currently is. However, most “different” states are not very desirable:

Surely our robot wouldn’t be so dumb as to go around breaking stuff when we ask it to clean our house? Unfortunately, AI systems trained with reinforcement learning only optimize features specified in the reward function and are indifferent to anything we might’ve inadvertently left out. Generally, it is easy to get the reward wrong by forgetting to include preferences for things that should stay the same, since we are so used to having these preferences satisfied, and there are so many of them. Consider the room below, and imagine that we want a robot waiter that serves people at the dining table efficiently. We might implement this using a reward function that provides 1 reward whenever the robot serves a dish, and use discounting so that the robot is incentivized to be efficient. What could go wrong with such a reward function? How would we need to modify the reward function to take this into account? Take a minute to think about it.


Soft Actor Critic—Deep Reinforcement Learning with Real-World Robots


We are announcing the release of our state-of-the-art off-policy model-free reinforcement learning algorithm, soft actor-critic (SAC). This algorithm has been developed jointly at UC Berkeley and Google, and we have been using it internally for our robotics experiment. Soft actor-critic is, to our knowledge, one of the most efficient model-free algorithms available today, making it especially well-suited for real-world robotic learning. In this post, we will benchmark SAC against state-of-the-art model-free RL algorithms and showcase a spectrum of real-world robot examples, ranging from manipulation to locomotion. We also release our implementation of SAC, which is particularly designed for real-world robotic systems.


Scaling Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning


An earlier version of this post is on the RISELab blog. It is posted here with the permission of the authors.

We just rolled out general support for multi-agent reinforcement learning in Ray RLlib 0.6.0. This blog post is a brief tutorial on multi-agent RL and how we designed for it in RLlib. Our goal is to enable multi-agent RL across a range of use cases, from leveraging existing single-agent algorithms to training with custom algorithms at large scale.


Building Gene Expression Atlases with Deep Generative Models for Single-cell Transcriptomics


Figure: An artistic representation of single-cell RNA sequencing. The stars in the sky represent cells in a heterogeneous tissue. The projection of the stars onto the river reveals relationships among them that are not apparent by looking directly at the sky. Like the river, our Bayesian model, called scVI, reveals relationships among cells.

The diversity of gene regulatory states in our body is one of the main reasons why such an amazing array of biological functions can be encoded in a single genome. Recent advances in microfluidics and sequencing technologies (such as inDrops) enabled measurement of gene expression at the single-cell level and has provided tremendous opportunities to unravel the underlying mechanisms of relationships between individual genes and specific biological phenomena. These experiments yield approximate measurements for mRNA counts of the entire transcriptome (i.e around $d = 20,000$ protein-coding genes) and a large number of cells $n$, which can vary from tens of thousands to a million cells. The early computational methods to interpret this data relied on linear model and empirical Bayes shrinkage approaches due to initially extremely low sample-size. While current research focuses on providing more accurate models for this gene expression data, most of the subsequent algorithms either exhibit prohibitive scalability issues or remain limited to a unique downstream analysis task. Consequently, common practices in the field still rely on ad-hoc preprocessing pipelines and specific algorithmic procedures, which limits the capabilities of capturing the underlying data generating process.

In this post, we propose to build up on the increased sample-size and recent developments in Bayesian approximate inference to improve modeling complexity as well as algorithmic scalability. Notably, we present our recent work on deep generative models for single-cell transcriptomics, which addresses all the mentioned limitations by formalizing biological questions into statistical queries over a unique graphical model, tailored to single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) datasets. The resulting algorithmic inference procedure, which we named Single-cell Variational Inference (scVI), is open-source and scales to over a million cells.


Visual Model-Based Reinforcement Learning as a Path towards Generalist Robots


With very little explicit supervision and feedback, humans are able to learn a wide range of motor skills by simply interacting with and observing the world through their senses. While there has been significant progress towards building machines that can learn complex skills and learn based on raw sensory information such as image pixels, acquiring large and diverse repertoires of general skills remains an open challenge. Our goal is to build a generalist: a robot that can perform many different tasks, like arranging objects, picking up toys, and folding towels, and can do so with many different objects in the real world without re-learning for each object or task. While these basic motor skills are much simpler and less impressive than mastering Chess or even using a spatula, we think that being able to achieve such generality with a single model is a fundamental aspect of intelligence.

The key to acquiring generality is diversity. If you deploy a learning algorithm in a narrow, closed-world environment, the agent will recover skills that are successful only in a narrow range of settings. That’s why an algorithm trained to play Breakout will struggle when anything about the images or the game changes. Indeed, the success of image classifiers relies on large, diverse datasets like ImageNet. However, having a robot autonomously learn from large and diverse datasets is quite challenging. While collecting diverse sensory data is relatively straightforward, it is simply not practical for a person to annotate all of the robot’s experiences. It is more scalable to collect completely unlabeled experiences. Then, given only sensory data, akin to what humans have, what can you learn? With raw sensory data there is no notion of progress, reward, or success. Unlike games like Breakout, the real world doesn’t give us a score or extra lives.

We have developed an algorithm that can learn a general-purpose predictive model using unlabeled sensory experiences, and then use this single model to perform a wide range of tasks.

With a single model, our approach can perform a wide range of tasks, including lifting objects, folding shorts, placing an apple onto a plate, rearranging objects, and covering a fork with a towel.

In this post, we will describe how this works. We will discuss how we can learn based on only raw sensory interaction data (i.e. image pixels, without requiring object detectors or hand-engineered perception components). We will show how we can use what was learned to accomplish many different user-specified tasks. And, we will demonstrate how this approach can control a real robot from raw pixels, performing tasks and interacting with objects that the robot has never seen before.


Physics-Based Learned Design: Teaching a Microscope How to Image


Figure 1: (left) LED Array Microscope constructed using a standard commercial microscope and an LED array. (middle) Close up on the LED array dome mounted on the microscope. (right) LED array displaying patterns at 100Hz.

Computational imaging systems marry the design of hardware and image reconstruction. For example, in optical microscopy, tomographic, super-resolution, and phase imaging systems can be constructed from simple hardware modifications to a commercial microscope (Fig. 1) and computational reconstruction. Traditionally, we require a large number of measurements to recover the above quantities; however, for live cell imaging applications, we are limited in the number of measurements we can acquire due to motion. Naturally, we want to know what are the best measurements to acquire. In this post, we highlight our latest work that learns the experimental design to maximize the performance of a non-linear computational imaging system.


AdaSearch: A Successive Elimination Approach to Adaptive Search


In many tasks in machine learning, it is common to want to answer questions given fixed, pre-collected datasets. In some applications, however, we are not given data a priori; instead, we must collect the data we require to answer the questions of interest. This situation arises, for example, in environmental contaminant monitoring and census-style surveys. Collecting the data ourselves allows us to focus our attention on just the most relevant sources of information. However, determining which of these sources of information will yield useful measurements can be difficult. Furthermore, when data is collected by a physical agent (e.g. robot, satellite, human, etc.) we must plan our measurements so as to reduce costs associated with the motion of the agent over time. We call this abstract problem embodied adaptive sensing.

We introduce a new approach to the embodied adaptive sensing problem, in which a robot must traverse its environment to identify locations or items of interest. Adaptive sensing encompasses many well-studied problems in robotics, including the rapid identification of accidental contamination leaks and radioactive sources, and finding individuals in search and rescue missions. In such settings, it is often critical to devise a sensing trajectory that returns a correct solution as quickly as possible.


Drilling Down on Depth Sensing and Deep Learning


Top left: image of a 3D cube. Top right: example depth image, with darker points representing areas closer to the camera (source: Wikipedia). Next two rows: examples of depth and RGB image pairs for grasping objects in a bin. Last two rows: similar examples for bed-making.

This post explores two independent innovations and the potential for combining them in robotics. Two years before the AlexNet results on ImageNet were released in 2012, Microsoft rolled out the Kinect for the X-Box. This class of low-cost depth sensors emerged just as Deep Learning boosted Artificial Intelligence by accelerating performance of hyper-parametric function approximators leading to surprising advances in image classification, speech recognition, and language translation. Today, Deep Learning is also showing promise for end-to-end learning of playing video games and performing robotic manipulation tasks.

For robot perception, convolutional neural networks (CNNs), such as VGG or ResNet, with three RGB color channels have become standard. For robotics and computer vision tasks, it is common to borrow one of these architectures (along with pre-trained weights) and then to perform transfer learning or fine-tuning on task-specific data. But in some tasks, knowing the colors in an image may provide only limited benefits. Consider training a robot to grasp novel, previously unseen objects. It may be more important to understand the geometry of the environment rather than colors and textures. The physical process of manipulation — controlling one or more objects by applying forces through contact — depends on object geometry, pose, and other factors which are largely color-invariant. When you manipulate a pen with your hand, for instance, you can often move it seamlessly without looking at the actual pen, so long as you have a good understanding of the location and orientation of contact points. Thus, before proceeding, one might ask: does it makes sense to use color images?

There is an alternative: depth images. These are single-channel grayscale images that measure depth values from the camera, and give us invariance to the colors of objects within an image. We can also use depth to “filter” points beyond a certain distance which can remove background noise, as we demonstrate later with robot bed-making. Examples of paired depth and real images are shown above.

In this post, we consider the potential for combining depth images and deep learning in the context of three ongoing projects in the UC Berkeley AUTOLab: Dex-Net for robot grasping, segmenting objects in heaps, and robot bed-making.


Learning Acrobatics by Watching YouTube


Simulated characters imitating skills from YouTube videos.

Whether it’s everyday tasks like washing our hands or stunning feats of acrobatic prowess, humans are able to learn an incredible array of skills by watching other humans. With the proliferation of publicly available video data from sources like YouTube, it is now easier than ever to find video clips of whatever skills we are interested in. A staggering 300 hours of videos are uploaded to YouTube every minute. Unfortunately, it is still very challenging for our machines to learn skills from this vast volume of visual data. Most imitation learning approaches require concise representations, such as those recorded from motion capture (mocap). But getting mocap data can be quite a hassle, often requiring heavy instrumentation. Mocap systems also tend to be restricted to indoor environments with minimal occlusion, which can limit the types of skills that can be recorded. So wouldn’t it be nice if our agents can also learn skills by watching video clips?

In this work, we present a framework for learning skills from videos (SFV). By combining state-of-the-art techniques in computer vision and reinforcement learning, our system enables simulated characters to learn a diverse repertoire of skills from video clips. Given a single monocular video of an actor performing some skill, such as a cartwheel or a backflip, our characters are able to learn policies that reproduce that skill in a physics simulation, without requiring any manual pose annotations.